Super El Nino 2026 - A Brutal Lie? Arthur Fils [bmZZ8R95qlU]

Stormsurf Video Surf Forecast (Episode #626) for the week starting Sunday, May 17th, 2026.

Current marine conditions, short term forecast out 2 weeks including snow and precipitation forecasts, and the long term forecast going out a month to year or more man on fire netflix for surf, snow and rain based on projections of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and ENSO (El Nino/La Nina).

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Contents of This Video

0:00 - Introduction

1:26 - Global Significant Wave Height

2:14 - Current Conditions (Buoy Analysis - 46029, 029, 191, 202)

5:24 - Significant Wave devin vassell Height Hindcast (NPac, SPac)

7:11 - Significant Wave Height Hindcast (NAtla, SAtla, Indian Ocean)

9:35 - Jetstream Forecast (NPac)

12:16 - Surface Pressure/Wind Forecast

13:51 - Significant Wave Height Forecast (NPac, SPac)

16:25 - Significant Wave Height Forecast (NAtla, SAtla, Indian Ocean)

18:26 - California and Hawaii Local Wind Forecast

20:45 - Spot Surf Forecasts (PNW, NCAL, SCal, HI)

24:15 - Long Term Outlook

24:33 - TAO Zonal Wind (Current Conditions)

29:17 - 5 day Zonal Surface Wind Hindcast

30:29 - 2 Week OLR/MJO Forecast and MJO Phase Diagrams

33:07 - 2 week GFS Zonal Wind Anomaly Forecast

37:07 - 1 month CFS Zonal Wind Anomaly Forecast

38:22 - 3 month CFS Zonal Wind Anomaly, MJO and Pressure Bias

42:38 - Subsurface Water Temp Analysis (TOA)

45:09 - Subsurface Water Temp Analysis (GODAS)

45:38 - Pentad Sea Level Anomaly

47:52 - Upper Ocean Heat Anomalies (1 Year Trend)

49:56 - Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Anomaly

51:43 - SSTA Anomaly Comparison to 1997

55:37 - Alternate SST Anomaly Values

56:16 - 7 & 15 day SST Anomaly Trend

57:14 - CDAS NINO 1.2 & 3.4 Anomaly Trend

58:25 - Southern Oscillation Index

1:00:08 - SOI 30 day Graph

1:00:58 - CFS Nino 3.4 SST Anomaly Forecast

1:02:09 - Comparison to '97 Actuals

1:03:51 - Walker Circulation Tutorial

1:05:20 - Walker Circulation - Current Conditions

1:06:37 - No MJO Forecast in KWGA

1:07:16 - Weakest MJO Months

1:08:45 - Subsurface Temp Forecast - Kelvin Wave in July?

1:10:40 - 1997 and 2015 Kelvin Wave/MJO Activity

1:12:38 - 2026 In Comparison

1:13:15 - But The Forecast is Crazy - How?

1:14:11 - Summary

1:16:53 - Credits