What Actually Popped The Dot-Com Bubble? Yankees - Brewers [iP1UCCIhEdW]
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Would the Dot Com Bubble even be that bad by today's standards?
That sounds like a dumb question to ask about what is widely recognized as the single largest speculative market crash in recent history, but there is also a lot of misunderstanding about what the dot com bubble actually was, jovana nogic the lasting impact it had, who it affected and perhaps most importantly who it didnt
Yes of course there are the usual surface level talking points about historically stretched valuations, circular financing deals, overly optimistic projections about unfounded technologies, a massive and ultimately unsustainable amount of infrastructure spending to support everything, all held together by a level of irrational exuberance that looks almost comical in hindsight
And yes of course these historic anecdotes have once again come into focus for uhm some reason
But there are also a lot of details about the dot com crash that tend to get ignored in favour of just pointing and laughing at everybody for being so stupid even if it was partially deserved.
For starters, a lot of people recognised it was a bubble, it wasnt like the entire world was fully onboard, and there were plenty of naysayers in the media, finance, and even in the tech sector itself
the dot com crash was also really two separate crashes that both celtic vs rangers impacted very different corners of the market,
and well yeah if 2001 really is going to be a cautionary tale about speculative manias, its also worth understanding how it could have been a lot worse
For how bad it was, the dot com bubble was largely isolated to a select group of companies, it didnt involve that much debt, it was relatively easy for regular investors to avoid completely, the infrastructure that developed alongside it remained relevant and valuable even after the hype died down, and more broadly, the rest of the real economy was still relatively strong,
Employment was high, debt was low, inflation was stable and most people were still doing very well.
The bursting bubble certainly wasnt a walk in the park but if you know hypothetically the entire economy was dependant on this line going up, with nothing else to support it, then things very easily could have been a lot worse.
Which also raises perhaps the most important unanswered question of all if we all knew this couldnt go on forever what did it take to finally actually cause the pop?