Wall St Is Pumping AI Stocks — So Why Are They Falling Carter Hart [LtgcQ3KoCkS]
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Wall Street conflict of interest in AI stocks follows the exact dotcom playbook Henry Blodgett ran at Merrill Lynch. The one regulation built after that crash to stop a repeat was quietly removed 7 months ago.
Henry Blodgett rated stocks "buy" publicly while calling them "garbage" in private emails
A Merrill Lynch employee wrote internally: "John and Mary Smith are losing their retirement so a bank doesn't lose a client"
Blodgett was fined and banned from the industry for life after the dotcom collapse
The 2003 Global Research Analyst Settlement built a legal wall between analysts and deal-making bankers
SEC removed the settlement 7 months ago, right as the largest hypercycle since dotcom peaks
18 of 19 Wall Street analysts issued buy ratings on SpaceX as the stock gruppo ferretti fell 34%
J.P. Morgan set a $225 target, Deutsche Bank $255, Morgan Stanley $300, Raymond James $800
At $800 per share, SpaceX would be worth $10 trillion, 500 times annual sales
Nothing on the planet trades at even 100 times sales; SpaceX has no profit at all
IBM's 25% drop on July 14 was the worst day in 115 years, worse than 2008, worse than COVID
IBM's own management called it "CAPEX reprioritization"; customers robbed IBM's budget to feed AI
The AI trade is cannibalizing healthy, century-old profitable companies to keep itself funded
$182 billion in new AI debt issued recently, equal to 20% of the entire US debt market
Circular revenue: a chipmaker invests in a startup, the startup buys chips, the chipmaker books revenue
Goldman Sachs told the jus de canneberge public AI looks strong while its bond desk used one word internally: "carnage"
Former SEC chairman published a Wall Street Journal piece titled "The SEC May Make Wall Street Analysts Corrupt Again"
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Timestamps:
00:00 Intro
01:36 Two Wall Streets, Two Opposite Messages
02:26 SpaceX Waived Into NASDAQ 100
03:43 Bank Price Targets Hit $800
04:05 A $10 Trillion Company at 500x Sales
04:48 When Research Reads Like Poetry
05:29 Follow the $20 Billion in Fees
06:38 Your 401k Already Owns This Risk
07:24 Survive the Bubble Free Event
08:24 Henry Blodgett and the Dotcom Playbook
08:54 John and Mary Smith Email
09:22 The Wall the SEC Just Removed
10:43 IBM's Worst Day in 115 Years
11:32 CAPEX Reprioritization Explained in English
12:00 Microsoft, Salesforce, ServiceNow Dragged Down
14:20 $182 Billion of Borrowed AI Money
14:50 The Circular Revenue Magic Trick
15:34 Crypto Money Floods Leveraged AI Funds
18:04 FT Reports Banks Offloading AI Debt
18:20 Goldman's Public Report vs "Carnage" Desk
19:44 Outro
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