The AI Stock Market Bubble Is Breaking. Adrian Day Says Gold Stocks Will Fall Hard, Rebound Harder Air Canada [QejMNH0TrkS]

Tag: #Air Canada, #tottenham - leeds, #paramount, #orilliamatters

Adrian Day, CEO of Adrian Day Asset Management, joins Ilya Spivak on Trading Trends for a wide macro conversation. two ideas stand out. first, the Fed: while futures still lean toward rate hikes, Adrian thinks the market has it backwards and the bigger surprise could be cuts, because debt levels dwarf the Volcker era and parts of the economy are far more fragile than they look.

S

econd, the quiet risk in private credit, where funds mark their own loans and an incentive to extend and hope means a loan can sit at 100 cents on the dollar for months, then drop straight to zero. he also makes the case that AI and the hyperscalers are a classic bubble that comes all the way back, why foreign money and record margin raise the odds of forced selling, and why gold and a weaker dollar may be the other side of that trade. his opinions, not recommendations.

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Chapters

00:00 Why Gold Will Not Sell Off

02:14 The Fed Has It Backwards

05:23 Private Credit: The Sleeper Risk

08:46 AI and Hyperscalers: A Classic Bubble

11:29 Foreign Money and Record Margin

13:15 The Rotation Into Value and Small Caps

15:56 The Dollar's Downside and Gold's Footing

#tastylive #adrianday #privatecredit #tradingtrends #federalreserve #gold #aibubble #macro #ratecuts #stockmarket

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