10 Year Treasury Yield Rising — What It Means for the Stock Market in 2026 [3NN6b7i2y1y]
If you’re working full-time and want to learn how to start investing the right way, click the link below and register for my free training: The bond market moves before the stock market does. When Kevin Warsh testified last week and the 10-year yield started to rise, most people dismissed it as headline noise. It was not. In this video I break down exactly what the 10-year yield is, how it moves in the opposite direction of the stock market, and why the trend break we just saw could be signaling a market drop ahead. I also walk you through the live chart and the simple framework I use to know when to buy calls and when to buy puts based on where yields are heading. Watch the yield. Know the move before it happens. CHAPTERS 00:00 The Signal Most Investors Missed From Kevin Warsh's Testimony 00:25 What This Tells Us About the Stock Market's Next Move 01:28 What Is the 10-Year Yield? (Ticker: TNX) 01:50 How Rising Yields Pull Money Out of the Stock Market 02:30 Why Technology Gets Hit First When Yields Go Up 02:54 How Falling Yields Push Money Back Into Stocks 03:13 The Simple Rule: Yields Up = Market Down. Yields Down = Market Up. 03:36 What Kevin Warsh Said and Why Yields Started to Rise 04:17 Live Chart Walkthrough — The 10-Year Yield on the 4-Hour Timeframe 04:54 The February to March Run From 3.9% to 4.4% 05:35 The Trend Line Break and What It Signaled 06:16 The Downward Trend That Pushed Stocks Back Up 06:39 Why the Recent Break of the Downward Trend Is the Warning Sign 07:00 What I Am Watching Next — Breakout Up or Pullback Down 07:20 The Trade Framework: Yields Up = Puts. Yields Down = Calls.