Super El Niño 2026: 100% Probability Confirmed | Pacific Running Hotter Than Any Event In 150 Years Alycia Parks [6HZyYUvWmDr]
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Three independent global forecasting agencies, NOAA, the ECMWF, and Australia's Bureau of Meteorology, are now aligned at 100% probability of a super El Nio forming by November 2026. The central Pacific is tracking toward 3 degrees Celsius above its long-term average, a level that would surpass the 1997-98 event, the 2015-16 event, and potentially the most destructive El Nio in the 500-year proxy record.
We have been tracking this story for months. This video covers what the forecasting agencies the washington post samarkand are now saying, what the 1997-98 super El Nio actually did to food systems, disease rates, and economies globally, and why the sarah ashlee barker 1877 event, the last time the Pacific ran this hot, remains the most important historical reference point for what a 2026 super El Nio could mean.
Full article with charts, source links, and data:
Sources: NOAA CPC, ECMWF, IRI Columbia University, Journal of Climate, World Bank, NASA SVS, Famine Early Warning Systems Network.
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